Insights Browser
Eight evidence-backed insight clusters, synthesized across the COLLEGIUM dissertation corpus.
8Clusters
375Dissertation Links
114,180Citations
Insight Clusters
Cislunar Infrastructure
Cislunar buildout economics turn on a small set of break-even thresholds: in-situ resource utilization, surface nuclear power, and propellant standards only pay off once landed-mass, energy-return, and lock-in conditions are actually met.
83
ConfidenceLimited EvidenceLunaNetSTMNASAArtemisSCaNJPL
Executive Summary
Across 105 supporting dissertations the members converge on the same structural finding, that lunar infrastructure value is gated by mass and energy break-even points rather than by technical feasibility alone. Break-even mass models for ISRU, real-options valuation of surface nuclear power, energy-return-on-investment for lunar propellant, and closure-rate life-support carrying-capacity models all describe a system where early standards and geography lock in advantage. Schedule-realism and logistics-fragility studies show ISRU and nuclear milestones slipping fastest and the Earth-Moon supply line exposed to single-point failure.
105Supporting Dissertations
209Source Papers
32,240Citations
Strategic Implications
- 1ISRU and surface nuclear investment should be paced to explicit landed-mass and energy-return break-even points, not to demonstration milestones that slip fastest.
- 2Early propellant and interface standards create increasing-returns lock-in, so standard-setting is a first-order strategic lever for the cislunar economy.
- 3Earth-Moon logistics resilience and settlement carrying capacity are binding constraints that must be modeled before buildout pacing is set.
Most Related Clusters
Space Economics (revealed-preference market signals)100%
Orbital Debris & SSA (debris as a priced commons)100%
Science Return & Instruments (science return as tracking economy)100%
Primary Methods
Break-Even Cost ModelingReal-Options ValuationSchedule-Slip CliometricsNetwork Resilience AnalysisInstitutional Analysis
Contributing Dissertations6 of 40
Does In-Situ Resource Utilization Actually Lower Landed Cost? A Break-Even MassJoon Voss · 1B-LUN-140
docxThe Option Value of Waiting: Real-Options Valuation of Lunar Surface Nuclear PowSuki Carrington · 1B-LUN-141
docxLogistics Fragility on the Earth-Moon Supply Line: Network Resilience Under SingCora Stern · 1B-LUN-175
docxCommons or Enclosure? Empirical Test of Polycentric Versus First-Mover GovernancCyrus Ito · 1B-LUN-166
docxModularity as Hidden Cost: Does Design Modularity in Lunar Surface Systems ReducPriya Park · 1B-LUN-180
docxSchedule Realism in Lunar Programs: Do ISRU and Nuclear Milestones Slip Faster TIngrid Kapoor · 1B-LUN-066
docxInsights at a Glance
Clusters by Evidence Band
Limited (5)Very Strong (2)Strong (1)
Citations by Cluster
